The most important thing to remember when assessing a candidate’s chances for winning the U.S. presidency is that the race is a state-by-state proposition. National polls don’t mean that much. The objective is to carry enough states to amass at least 270 electoral votes.
Need I remind you that Al Gore carried the nation as a whole by more than 543,000 votes in the 2000 election but still lost to George W. Bush?
The next thing to remember is that it’s already pretty safe to say who’s going to win the electoral votes in certain states in this year’s election. There’s no way, ...