Nate Cohn FIGURES that President Obama’s dip in the polls probably won’t last very long:
The president’s approval rating has dipped, probably because of the NSA surveillance revelations or the accumulated effect of supposed or actual scandals. As Mark Blumenthal has pointed out, the decline probably isn’t as large as suggested by yesterday’s CNN poll, which pointed toward a big, 8 point decline in the president’s approval rating. The real answer might be closer to 2 or 3 points—a more modest dip. The question is whether the recent drop presages a long-term decline in the president’s credibility, or if the ...
Steve Benen has the story HERE:
When the Heritage Foundation launched an offensive against comprehensive immigration reform in early May, it focused its attention almost exclusively on one area: the legislation’s price tag. After all, one of the first questions lawmakers ask in response to any proposal is, “What does it cost?” and if the bipartisan reform bill is too pricey, Congress will have a good excuse to reject it.
With that in mind, Heritage, relying on numbers that no one could take seriously, said immigration reform would cost taxpayers over $6 trillion. Yesterday, the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office ...
A few weeks after the election of last November, I wrote THIS:
[S]ome political pundits don’t like polling analyst Nate Silver (above). They don’t appreciate how he uses mathematical analysis to read the political tea leaves while they depend on non-scientific analysis based largely on their schmoozing with supposedly knowledgeable sources.
Silver seems to think most pundits are full of crap. And, of course, he made a lot of them look bad when he correctly predicted the outcome of presidential balloting in each of the 50 states while they promoted the neck-and-neck meme to the very end.
Shortly before the election, Politico.com ...
How dumb is THIS?
You might call North Dakota the antithesis of President Obama’s political base.
Whites make up 90 percent of its population, which is fewer than one million people and mostly in rural areas. Its proportion of people 65 and over exceeds the national average. There was never a chance that North Dakota would give Mr. Obama its three electoral votes.
So Mr. Obama has not given North Dakota his time. It is one of six states he has not visited as president, along with South Dakota, Arkansas, Idaho, South Carolina and Utah. He has gone just ...
Hmmm. All that talk of a few weeks ago about impeaching President Obama for his involvement in IRS targeting of conservative groups (see HERE, for example) suddenly seems to have faded away.
I wonder why. Does it have anything to do with the fact that there is no evidence whatever that the White House was involved in the alleged misdeeds by the folks at the IRS?
On that score, THIS STUFF is instructive:
Democrats on the House Oversight Committee have just released a full transcript of testimony from a key witness in the investigation of IRS targeting of conservatives ...
As I’ve noted on previous occasions (HERE, for example), polls on the matter of snooping by the National Security Agency and how to deal with NSA leaker Edward Snowden have shown divergent results that blur the lines between the left and right of the political spectrum.
And now there are two more such surveys.
Americans are divided when it comes to charging Edward Snowden with a crime for leaking portions of the National Security Agency’s sweeping surveillance of phone records and Internet activity, but they clearly want to know more, according to a new Washington ...
In recent weeks, and especially over the past few days, this humble little blogging enterprise has been plagued by various technical problems, some of which have made it difficult or impossible for prospective readers to connect with us.
But thanks to yeoman’s efforts by Brian Wallheimer, the digital editor at RRStar.com, the situation has been resolved.
If you want to catch up with any Applesauce posts you might have missed, check HERE.
Gee whiz! What a surprise THIS is!
Former Rep. Allen West (R-Fla.) believes women have no place in elite military units, he said Tuesday in a Facebook post accusing President Barack Obama and the Defense Department of enacting a policy change that does not take combat roles seriously enough.
“Being in close quarters special operations combat units is not a social gathering,” he said, reacting to news that women will be able to start training as Army Rangers and Navy SEALs starting in the next few years. “There is no equality in close combat. The goal is simple: you physically ...
THIS is going to confuse the hell out of some wingnuts:
Bill Ayers [above] believes President Obama should be put on trial for war crimes at The Hague, the Weather Underground co-founder told Real Clear Politics in an interview posted Tuesday.
Ayers told the website he “absolutely” believed the president was engaged in terrorism for his use of drone strikes in fighting the war on terror.
“Absolutely. Every president in this century should be put on trial, every one of them,” Ayers said. “For war crimes. Absolutely.”
Ayers also said he would give the president a “failing” grade, while admitting ...
The U.S. Constitution requires supermajority votes in the Senate only in very limited circumstances — mainly to approve treaties and override presidential vetoes.
The Founding Fathers had no intention that a supermajority would be required for Senate approval of ordinary legislation or confirmation of presidential appointees. There’s nothing in the Constitution about Senate filibusters.
But we have reached the point in recent years where almost nothing gets approved without the votes of 60 senators — especially in light of the Senate minority leader’s solemn vow to block anything and everything supported by President Obama.
The leaflet above was circulated in the Dallas area a few weeks before John Kennedy was assassinated there 50 years ago.
Need I say more?...
Steve Benen NAILS IT:
When opponents of a bill are reduced to talking about the literal, physical size of the legislation, they’ve completely given up on the pretense that public policy matters. If opponents of immigration reform want to debate the merits of the proposal, great. But focusing on pages and pounds is the absolute worst form of debate.
This came up quite a big during the fight over health care reform — it was easier for the right to count the number of pages in the Affordable Care Act than debate it on the merits — so let’s ...
You may have heard or read today that there was a rash of shootings in Chicago over the weekend, and at least seven people were killed (HERE).
But you probably have not heard something Chicago Police spokesman Adam Collins SAID this morning:
While we’ve had fewer murders to date this year than any year since the mid-1960s, there’s more work to be done and we won’t rest until everyone in Chicago enjoys the same sense of safety.
Did you get that? Fewer murders to date this year than any year since the mid-1960s.
How can that be? How ...
And guess who wrote the majority opinion in THIS CASE:
In an opinion by conservative Justice Antonin Scalia, a 7-2 Supreme Court held this morning that an Arizona law requiring voting officials to reject voter registration forms that are “not accompanied by concrete evidence of citizenship” conflicts with a federal law requiring states to use a uniform voter registration form for federal elections. Scalia once justified an anti-immigrant opinion with a reference to laws exclusing “freed blacks” from Southern states, and he called the Voting Rights Act a “perpetuation of racial entitlement. So his authorship of this opinion is ...
HERE‘s another chapter in the ongoing drama we call “Demography Is Destiny”:
Sen. Lindsey Graham [above] — one of the Republican co-sponsors of an immigration reform bill that would provide a pathway to citizenship for the nation’s 11.1 million undocumented immigrations — told fellow Republicans that the GOP will fail to exist if reform does not become law.
“If we don’t pass immigration reform , if we don’t get it off the table in a reasonable, practical way, it doesn’t matter who you run in 2016,” Graham warned during on appearance Sunday on NBC’s Meet The Press. “We’re in...
Back in 2006, when George W. Bush was president and Republicans controlled both houses of Congress, legislation known as the Warning, Alert and Response Network Act — or the WARN Act, for short — was passed and signed into law.
Under terms of the act, AMBER and Emergency alerts are automatically sent to your phone unless you switch them off via settings. But “presidential alerts,” which are issued only in the most dire of national emergencies, cannot be blocked.
Well, of course, that was all well and good before Barack Obama became president. But now it’s cause for wingnuts to ...
Sarah Palin, political guru to the brainless, said this the other day in arguing against American military intervention in Syria:
“Let Allah sort it out.”
One can imagine that more than a few Islamophobes chortled like crazy at that clever remark.
But a question arises: Was Palin, in effect, mocking God?
There’s always been a lot of hair-splitting on the matter of whether Muslims, Jews and Christians all believe in the same God. But one basic fact remains: Islam, Judaism and Christianity are all monotheistic faiths rooted in Abrahamism. They all stem from the God of Abraham.
Then, too, there’s ...
The following is adapted from a blog post I wrote two years ago yesterday:
–The oldest teens at the dawn of the rock ‘n’ roll era are now turning 77 years of age.
–The youngest voters when Ronald Reagan was first elected president will turn 51 this year.
–My paternal grandfather was born during the presidency of Abraham Lincoln.
–Does anyone who doesn’t work in local television call the Rockford area “the stateline”?
–Wouldn’t you love to see a debate between Harvard Law School graduates Barack Obama and Ted Cruz (with no interruptions allowed)?
–The TV networks are run by ...
As I see it, the most offensive thing about this clip is that the lunatic Beck is wearing a Chicago Blackhawks hat.